Monday, April 13, 2026, at the SpaceX facility in Hawthorne, California, USA.
Ethan Swope | Bloomberg | Getty Images
space x is set to list on the Nasdaq on Friday, and traders at prediction market platform Polymarket are confident the stock will skyrocket.
Elon Musk’s rocket company is expected to sell for $135 per share, giving it a market value of $1.77 trillion. However, traders believe it is likely to extend further north from there on the first day of trading.
There is an 84% chance that SpaceX will close with a market cap of more than $1.8 trillion, according to traders at Polymarket. There is a 69% chance that SpaceX will exceed $2 trillion.
Based on an expected initial market cap of $1.77 trillion, the roughly $2 trillion capitalization would represent a 13% gain for SpaceX on Friday. HyperLiquid’s pre-IPO perpetual futures indicate SpaceX could rise more than 20% on its first day of trading.
Traders believe SpaceX will close with a market cap of more than $2.2 trillion, saying there is less than a 50-50 chance of that happening.
A closing price above $2 trillion would put SpaceX in an exclusive club. Only five other U.S. companies — Nvidia, apple, alphabet, microsoft and Amazon — Valuation exceeds $2 trillion.
SpaceX’s $2 trillion would make it more than the semiconductor giants. broadcomis valued at $1.85 trillion. Even at an expected initial valuation of $1.77 trillion, SpaceX will prove to be bigger than Musk’s flagship electric vehicle. Tesla’s market capitalization late Thursday was about $1.72 trillion, according to FactSet data.
